Rapid Intensification Guidance

 WP132025 250805 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     38.40    158.70
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    30.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    30.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     2.60             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      2.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      5.40             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    134.00             U


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        29.5  30.8  30.1  37.5  44.7  55.6  48.2  46.7  N  U  N  U VU VU VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         32.2  31.8  25.0  20.8  15.9  15.1  14.6  14.1 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    13.0 -19.0  -3.0  16.0  -4.0  29.0  56.0  51.0  U  U  U  U  U  N  N  N
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   43.0  47.0  48.0  54.0  58.0  57.0  58.0  60.0 VU VU  U  U  U  U  U  N
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  13.0  15.0  12.0  42.0  40.0  20.0   0.0 -23.0  U  U  U VU VU VU  N VF


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.1%        0.0%        0.1%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 18.98

 WP132025 250805 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     38.40    158.70
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    30.