Rapid Intensification Guidance

 WP132025 250806 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     41.50    164.70
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    25.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    25.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]    11.80             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      3.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      1.00             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    145.00             U


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        41.9  39.2  43.9  45.3  47.7  37.0  47.6  55.6 VU  U VU VU VU  U VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         23.1  21.1  21.8  22.2  20.8  20.0  18.7  17.8 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    15.0   9.0   2.0  14.0  38.0  59.0  61.0  65.0  U  U  U  U  N  N  N  N
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   61.0  66.0  65.0  65.0  71.0  72.0  70.0  59.0  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  U
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  20.0  20.0  15.0  19.0   1.0 -23.0  -7.0  27.0 VU VU  U VU  N VF  F VU


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 14.80

 WP132025 250806 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     41.50    164.70
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    25.