Rapid Intensification Guidance

 CP012026 260826 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     35.10    177.40
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    45.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    45.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     3.40             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      2.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      6.00             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    449.00             U


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        20.7  21.8  24.6  26.4  25.2  21.9  29.9  30.1  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   1.0   1.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         52.0  53.2  53.2  46.7  47.7  40.0  31.9  31.2  U  U  U  U  U  U VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]   -18.0 -13.0 -35.0 -30.0 -16.0  -7.0 -27.0 -24.0  U  U VU VU  U  U VU VU
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   46.0  46.0  45.0  45.0  45.0  44.0  45.0  43.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]   0.0   0.0   1.0  -1.0   0.0   1.0   0.0  -3.0  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.1%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        3.2%        0.1%        1.6%
 30kt / 24h        3.2%        0.0%        1.6%
 35kt / 24h        3.2%        0.0%        1.6%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 24.34

 CP012026 260826 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     35.10    177.40
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    45.