Rapid Intensification Guidance

 EP052026 260719 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     20.90    124.90
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    50.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    50.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]   -10.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]     6.60             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     58.00             N
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     24.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      9.80             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    120.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        29.9  33.4  35.1  39.0  35.7  40.9  39.3  47.1  N  U  U  U  U VU  U VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         30.0  26.2  20.2  18.4  15.7  10.5   7.0   3.2 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    30.0  14.0  45.0  36.0  10.0  -4.0   0.0 -29.0  N  U  N  N  U  U  U VU
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   56.0  51.0  50.0  46.0  43.0  38.0  39.0  32.0  U  U  U VU VU VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  16.0  22.0  19.0  20.0  19.0  16.0   7.0  -7.0  U VU VU VU VU  U  N  F


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 22.04

 EP052026 260719 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     20.90    124.90
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    50.