Rapid Intensification Guidance

 EP052026 260719 18UTC
 Storm Located at           :     22.60    125.70
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    50.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    50.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     2.20             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     24.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      8.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      7.00             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     87.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        34.3  36.1  36.9  35.2  38.2  37.3  45.5  53.4  U  U  U  U  U  U VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         22.7  20.2  16.7  15.7  10.5   7.0   3.2   2.3 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    40.0  46.0  11.0   8.0   9.0  13.0 -19.0  -2.0  N  N  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   49.0  46.0  46.0  44.0  38.0  39.0  33.0  30.0  U VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  21.0  24.0  24.0  28.0  16.0   5.0  -6.0 -11.0 VU VU VU VU  U  N  F  F


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 21.18

 EP052026 260719 18UTC
 Storm Located at           :     22.60    125.70
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    50.