Rapid Intensification Guidance

 EP062026 260723 18UTC
 Storm Located at           :     18.10    126.20
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    75.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    75.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     5.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     5.40             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     53.00             N
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     20.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      9.50             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     81.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        22.1  19.2  21.2  22.0  23.8  25.4  22.6  25.0  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         25.5  25.5  23.2  22.0  16.7  18.8  19.8  22.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    11.0  11.0  22.0  17.0 -29.0 -24.0  -8.0   5.0  U  U  U  U VU VU  U  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   67.0  66.0  64.0  60.0  55.0  48.0  43.0  37.0  N  N  N  N  U  U VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  15.0  14.0  14.0  14.0  12.0  11.0   5.0   2.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  N  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        3.3%        0.0%        1.7%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 24.60

 EP062026 260723 18UTC
 Storm Located at           :     18.10    126.20
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    75.