Rapid Intensification Guidance

 EP062026 260724 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     18.50    129.20
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    80.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    80.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     5.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     4.60             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     50.00             N
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     15.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      9.50             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     81.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        19.9  22.6  22.9  23.2  26.6  24.4  25.1  27.9  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         19.3  18.2  12.7  11.7  13.8  12.7  14.8  19.3 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    32.0  14.0   0.0 -39.0   6.0 -13.0   1.0   0.0  N  U  U VU  U  U  U  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   62.0  60.0  59.0  55.0  51.0  47.0  39.0  36.0  N  N  U  U  U VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  14.0  16.0  12.0   8.0   9.0   7.0   5.0  10.0  U  U  U  U  U  N  N  U


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 24.34

 EP062026 260724 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     18.50    129.20
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    80.