Rapid Intensification Guidance

 EP062026 260725 18UTC
 Storm Located at           :     19.20    137.00
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    85.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    85.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     7.80             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     46.00             N
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     12.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      9.10             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     72.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        22.3  21.6  22.9  27.0  29.9  26.4  33.2  38.0  N  N  N  N  N  N  U  U
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   4.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]          9.8  10.9  12.0   9.8  14.3  17.9  20.4  24.4 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    -8.0  -4.0  -8.0 -14.0  20.0  13.0  13.0  27.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   51.0  49.0  47.0  43.0  42.0  40.0  38.0  37.0  U  U VU VU VU VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]   8.0   4.0   5.0   6.0   5.0   5.0   3.0  -1.0  U  N  N  N  N  N  N  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 24.24

 EP062026 260725 18UTC
 Storm Located at           :     19.20    137.00
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    85.