Rapid Intensification Guidance

 EP062026 260726 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     19.40    138.20
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    85.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    85.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     6.60             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     52.00             N
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     26.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      9.90             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     77.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        23.7  24.3  28.0  31.8  30.7  28.2  42.6  36.5  N  N  N  U  U  N VU  U
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   1.0   5.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         10.9  12.0  10.9  12.0  16.7  19.2  21.7  24.4 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]     3.0   5.0 -15.0   0.0   9.0  20.0  37.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  N  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   49.0  48.0  44.0  43.0  40.0  39.0  39.0  36.0  U  U VU VU VU VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]   5.0   7.0   7.0   9.0   7.0   6.0   4.0   7.0  N  N  N  U  N  N  N  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 24.32

 EP062026 260726 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     19.40    138.20
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    85.