Rapid Intensification Guidance

 EP062026 260726 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     19.60    139.20
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    80.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    80.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]    -5.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]     8.60             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     23.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      3.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      9.40             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     73.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        27.5  30.3  32.3  29.3  27.3  33.9  36.5  42.0  N  N  U  N  N  U  U VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   4.0   4.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         17.0  15.9  17.0  19.3  20.5  25.4  26.7  30.8 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    16.0   9.0  -7.0  -1.0 -19.0   0.0  18.0   8.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   47.0  43.0  42.0  41.0  41.0  38.0  39.0  34.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]   5.0   9.0  11.0   6.0   4.0   3.0   4.0   8.0  N  U  U  N  N  N  N  U


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 24.40

 EP062026 260726 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     19.60    139.20
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    80.