Rapid Intensification Guidance

 EP062026 260726 18UTC
 Storm Located at           :     19.80    141.70
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    75.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    75.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]    -5.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]     5.00             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     34.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     22.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      8.10             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     55.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        30.3  28.2  27.2  27.6  33.2  37.9  39.2  43.5  N  N  N  N  U  U  U VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   4.0   6.0   9.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         23.2  24.3  26.7  29.2  30.4  35.8  35.8  37.2 VU VU VU VU VU  U  U  U
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]     1.0   0.0  -7.0 -18.0  13.0   4.0  -2.0 -22.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U VU
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   39.0  38.0  37.0  39.0  37.0  38.0  33.0  32.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  11.0   9.0   3.0   3.0   4.0   4.0   8.0   1.0  U  U  N  N  N  N  U  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.3%        0.0%        0.1%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 24.68

 EP062026 260726 18UTC
 Storm Located at           :     19.80    141.70
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    75.