Rapid Intensification Guidance

 EP062026 260727 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     20.00    143.00
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    75.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    75.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     5.80             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     46.00             N
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     24.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      9.60             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     63.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        28.6  29.1  27.8  29.6  41.8  33.8  46.3  45.7  N  N  N  N VU  U VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   1.0   5.0   7.0  19.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         24.3  26.7  29.2  29.2  34.4  34.4  37.2  41.5 VU VU VU VU VU VU  U  U
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    12.0  -8.0 -14.0   9.0  43.0   8.0   4.0  30.0  U  U  U  U  N  U  U  N
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   37.0  37.0  39.0  37.0  37.0  36.0  33.0  33.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]   4.0   1.0   0.0   7.0   0.0   3.0  -2.0   2.0  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.9%        0.0%        0.5%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 24.76

 EP062026 260727 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     20.00    143.00
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    75.