Rapid Intensification Guidance

 EP062026 260727 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     20.20    144.20
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    75.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    75.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     3.80             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     26.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     12.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      9.40             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     68.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        29.2  28.3  30.1  32.2  38.7  40.9  45.8  41.2  N  N  N  U  U VU VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   4.0   6.0   8.0  28.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         26.7  27.9  30.4  30.4  34.4  35.8  40.0  43.0 VU VU VU VU VU  U  U  U
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    11.0 -12.0  13.0  14.0   1.0   8.0 -46.0   5.0  U  U  U  U  U  U VU  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   37.0  39.0  37.0  37.0  38.0  34.0  34.0  32.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]   3.0   2.0   8.0   3.0   1.0   2.0   1.0   1.0  N  N  U  N  N  N  N  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.9%        0.0%        0.4%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 24.90

 EP062026 260727 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     20.20    144.20
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    75.