Rapid Intensification Guidance

 EP062026 260729 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     22.90    152.90
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    35.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    35.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]   -15.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]    11.80             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      0.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      0.10             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     64.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        45.8  55.7  54.7  53.0  56.0  50.9  40.4  40.4 VU VU VU VU VU VU  U  U
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    4.0   4.0   4.0   9.0  14.0   9.0  11.0  11.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         74.4  75.8  77.2  80.0  83.0  84.6  84.6  84.6  U  U  U  N  N  N  N  N
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    20.0  -1.0 -23.0  -6.0 -28.0  -3.0  37.0  37.0  U  U VU  U VU  U  N  N
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   32.0  30.0  30.0  30.0  34.0  39.0  45.0  45.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]   7.0   3.0   3.0   7.0   3.0   6.0   9.0   9.0  N  N  N  N  N  N  U  U


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.2%        0.0%        0.1%
 30kt / 24h        0.2%        0.0%        0.1%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.1%        0.0%        0.1%
 55kt / 36h        0.1%        0.0%        0.1%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.1%        0.0%        0.1%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 25.54

 EP062026 260729 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     22.90    152.90
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    35.