Rapid Intensification Guidance

 EP072026 260728 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     16.90    114.30
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:   125.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]   125.00             U
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]   -10.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]     7.80             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     78.00             N
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     60.00             N
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]     10.00             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    100.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        24.9  24.9  26.8  26.3  23.4  19.4  16.4  19.2  N  N  N  N  N  N  F  N
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]   20.0  22.0  26.0  23.0  15.0   2.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         11.6  11.6  -0.7  -3.9  -8.5 -22.1 -33.3 -42.6 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    33.0  35.0  40.0  30.0 -13.0  32.0  -7.0  20.0  N  N  N  N  U  N  U  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   65.0  66.0  65.0  64.0  61.0  57.0  54.0  50.0  N  N  N  N  N  U  U  U
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]   9.0   4.0  10.0  11.0   3.0   0.0  -5.0  -7.0  U  N  U  U  N  N  F  F


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 26.88

 EP072026 260728 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     16.90    114.30
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:   125.