Rapid Intensification Guidance

 EP072026 260729 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     18.20    117.20
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:   115.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]   115.00             U
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     5.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     5.40             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     89.00             F
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     57.00             N
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]     10.00             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    100.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        29.6  25.8  22.0  23.0  17.9  18.5  19.5  18.3  N  N  N  N  F  N  N  F
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]   22.0  18.0   6.0   2.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]          6.1   3.0  -9.6 -10.8 -22.3 -26.3 -32.6 -35.8 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]     7.0 -17.0  32.0  49.0  -4.0   7.0  -5.0   8.0  U  U  N  N  U  U  U  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   61.0  60.0  59.0  56.0  55.0  52.0  51.0  48.0  N  N  U  U  U  U  U  U
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  10.0   2.0  -1.0   0.0  -2.0  -2.0  -7.0   5.0  U  N  N  N  N  N  F  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 25.70

 EP072026 260729 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     18.20    117.20
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:   115.