Rapid Intensification Guidance

 EP072026 260729 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     18.30    118.00
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:   110.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]   110.00             U
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     2.20             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     64.00             N
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     43.00             N
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      8.30             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     75.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        29.0  25.7  28.5  22.4  19.1  20.4  22.3  19.2  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]   17.0   7.0   2.0   1.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]          8.0   5.0  -5.8  -8.3 -20.3 -27.6 -27.6 -30.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]   -13.0  24.0  11.0   3.0  15.0 -46.0  22.0  27.0  U  U  U  U  U VU  U  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   61.0  59.0  58.0  57.0  54.0  52.0  52.0  51.0  N  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]   6.0   4.0   6.0   4.0  -2.0  -3.0   3.0  10.0  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  U


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 25.56

 EP072026 260729 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     18.30    118.00
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:   110.