Rapid Intensification Guidance

 EP072026 260729 12UTC
 Storm Located at           :     18.60    118.60
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:   100.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]   100.00             U
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]   -15.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]     2.20             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     74.00             N
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     53.00             N
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      8.80             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     76.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        24.9  28.1  22.4  20.0  18.9  15.7  14.7  17.7  N  N  N  N  N  F  F  F
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    7.0   3.0   1.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         15.0   4.2   1.7  -7.3 -11.3 -17.6 -20.8 -20.8 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    12.0  -6.0  11.0  -1.0  -5.0 -40.0   8.0  23.0  U  U  U  U  U VU  U  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   58.0  57.0  56.0  57.0  53.0  51.0  49.0  50.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]   1.0   3.0   3.0   0.0  -2.0  -4.0   4.0   4.0  N  N  N  N  N  F  N  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 25.12

 EP072026 260729 12UTC
 Storm Located at           :     18.60    118.60
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:   100.