Rapid Intensification Guidance

 EP072026 260730 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     20.00    121.50
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    80.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    80.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]    -5.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]     5.00             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     48.00             N
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     15.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      9.80             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     82.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        17.9  17.2  19.8  19.5  18.6  15.5  18.1  26.8  F  F  N  N  N  F  F  N
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         12.7  10.7   3.3   2.4  -0.8  -0.0  -0.0   1.6 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    -7.0   9.0   3.0 -25.0  14.0  40.0  29.0  33.0  U  U  U VU  U  N  N  N
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   56.0  55.0  54.0  53.0  51.0  49.0  51.0  52.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]   3.0  -2.0  -2.0  -2.0   0.0   3.0  11.0  13.0  N  N  N  N  N  N  U  U


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 23.58

 EP072026 260730 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     20.00    121.50
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    80.