Rapid Intensification Guidance

 EP072026 260730 18UTC
 Storm Located at           :     20.60    124.20
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    65.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    65.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]   -15.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]     2.20             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     49.00             N
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     11.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      9.90             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     86.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        19.0  15.6  13.7  14.1  15.7  20.4  32.5  27.0  N  F  F  F  F  N  U  N
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         24.7  17.4  18.3  14.2  15.8  15.8  16.6  19.1 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    14.0   0.0   3.0  14.0  13.0  -8.0  25.0  23.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   53.0  50.0  51.0  49.0  48.0  51.0  50.0  52.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  -2.0   1.0   1.0   4.0  10.0  16.0  18.0  19.0  N  N  N  N  U  U VU VU


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 23.18

 EP072026 260730 18UTC
 Storm Located at           :     20.60    124.20
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    65.