Rapid Intensification Guidance

 EP072026 260731 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     21.50    126.60
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    55.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    55.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]   -10.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]     8.60             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      2.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      6.20             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     72.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        11.4  12.4  14.0  17.4  18.6  30.3  29.8  20.6  F  F  F  F  N  N  N  N
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         27.4  24.2  24.2  25.0  25.0  26.6  29.1  30.9 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    16.0  25.0   9.0 -11.0   0.0  12.0  24.0  17.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   49.0  48.0  46.0  46.0  49.0  51.0  52.0  48.0  U  U VU VU  U  U  U  U
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]   2.0   4.0   4.0   6.0  13.0  17.0  14.0  18.0  N  N  N  N  U  U  U VU


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 22.68

 EP072026 260731 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     21.50    126.60
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    55.