Rapid Intensification Guidance

 EP072026 260802 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     23.40    135.50
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    40.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    40.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     4.20             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      8.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      4.00             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     69.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        25.9  28.9  33.3  31.2  25.4  28.1  45.7  54.5  N  N  U  U  N  N VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         42.4  41.6  44.1  45.0  45.9  47.8  46.8  45.9  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]   -10.0   3.0  14.0  15.0  30.0  -4.0  -6.0   9.0  U  U  U  U  N  U  U  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   49.0  50.0  50.0  47.0  44.0  43.0  44.0  44.0  U  U  U VU VU VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  13.0   9.0   9.0   9.0  10.0   7.0  10.0   3.0  U  U  U  U  U  N  U  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.2%        0.0%        0.1%
 30kt / 24h        0.2%        0.0%        0.1%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 22.96

 EP072026 260802 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     23.40    135.50
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    40.