Rapid Intensification Guidance

 EP112026 260901 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     18.00    127.40
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:   120.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]   120.00             U
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     5.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     7.40             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     97.00             F
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     86.00             F
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]     10.00             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     90.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        20.5  21.6  18.4  14.6  12.1  13.6  14.8  21.1  N  N  F  F  F  F  F  N
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         -7.8  -7.8  -7.8  -7.8 -15.8 -17.1 -15.8 -19.5 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]   -16.0 -13.0   0.0   5.0   0.0   1.0  -2.0 -40.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U VU
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   57.0  54.0  53.0  50.0  49.0  43.0  41.0  40.0  U  U  U  U  U VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]   2.0   4.0   4.0   3.0   4.0   5.0   3.0   6.0  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 25.60

 EP112026 260901 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     18.00    127.40
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:   120.