Rapid Intensification Guidance

 EP132026 260905 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     21.10    119.30
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    85.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    85.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     5.40             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     74.00             N
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     43.00             N
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      9.90             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    121.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        15.8  14.3  14.3  12.1  17.1  14.3  18.9  15.9  F  F  F  F  F  F  N  F
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         15.5   7.7   7.7   5.7  -2.6  -8.1  -8.1 -10.9 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]   -40.0 -30.0  -5.0 -19.0 -17.0   9.0  -2.0  45.0 VU VU  U  U  U  U  U  N
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   62.0  60.0  55.0  51.0  46.0  42.0  43.0  43.0  N  N  U  U VU VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]   1.0   4.0   5.0   3.0   2.0   6.0   7.0  11.0  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  U


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 24.24

 EP132026 260905 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     21.10    119.30
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    85.