Rapid Intensification Guidance

 EP132026 260906 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     22.90    121.70
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    80.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    80.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]    11.80             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     46.00             N
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      8.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      9.60             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    104.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        16.0  17.3  16.8  15.8  23.1  21.9  31.7  43.1  F  F  F  F  N  N  U VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]          3.3   3.3  -2.4  -2.4  -5.9  -5.9  -7.3 -11.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]   -15.0 -22.0  13.0  -3.0 -36.0  21.0  49.0  82.0  U VU  U  U VU  U  N  N
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   52.0  49.0  45.0  42.0  43.0  42.0  46.0  47.0  U  U VU VU VU VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]   1.0   2.0   6.0   9.0   9.0  17.0  12.0  35.0  N  N  N  U  U  U  U VU


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 22.88

 EP132026 260906 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     22.90    121.70
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    80.