Rapid Intensification Guidance

 EP132026 260908 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     25.00    125.60
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    45.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    45.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]    -5.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]    11.40             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      4.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      4.40             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     95.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        21.3  27.8  32.8  39.0  44.7  48.9  51.8  60.4  N  N  U  U VU VU VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         29.1  29.1  27.7  25.8  23.4  22.8  22.8  22.3 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    32.0  -7.0   3.0  52.0  45.0  33.0  32.0  24.0  N  U  U  N  N  N  N  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   32.0  34.0  35.0  36.0  39.0  35.0  28.0  28.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  13.0   8.0   4.0  10.0  23.0  18.0   6.0   6.0  U  U  N  U VU VU  N  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 21.66

 EP132026 260908 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     25.00    125.60
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    45.