Rapid Intensification Guidance

 SH032026 250910 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :    -10.50     66.10
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    35.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    35.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     9.80             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     19.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     12.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      3.40             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     58.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        31.6  35.2  37.1  37.3  34.7  26.4  22.9  25.8  U  U  U  U  U  N  N  N
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   2.0   5.0   7.0   6.0   6.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         84.6  84.6  91.0  91.0  96.2  94.4  94.4  94.4  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    54.0  47.0  44.0  31.0  61.0  53.0  57.0  21.0  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   58.0  56.0  58.0  58.0  55.0  56.0  53.0  55.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  -1.0  -0.0   2.0   1.0  -0.0  -1.0  -0.0  -0.0  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.1%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.2%        0.2%        0.2%
 30kt / 24h        0.2%        0.1%        0.1%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.1%        0.4%        0.3%
 55kt / 36h        0.1%        0.1%        0.1%
 55kt / 48h        0.2%        0.1%        0.2%
 70kt / 48h        0.1%        0.1%        0.1%
 65kt / 72h        0.1%        0.3%        0.2%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 26.26

 SH032026 250910 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :    -10.50     66.10
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    35.