Rapid Intensification Guidance

 SH042026 251025 12UTC
 Storm Located at           :     -7.50     50.60
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    35.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    35.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     5.80             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     38.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     34.00             N
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      5.30             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     55.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        57.0  47.4  40.0  38.1  32.9  30.2  29.1  32.2 VU VU  U  U  U  N  N  U
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]   12.0  10.0   9.0   9.0  11.0  16.0  17.0  15.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         96.2  98.0  96.2  96.2  96.2  96.2  96.2  96.2  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]   -25.0 -35.0  -9.0  -5.0  -8.0 -31.0 -25.0 -27.0 VU VU  U  U  U VU VU VU
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   48.0  48.0  49.0  47.5  48.0  50.0  54.0  54.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]   3.0   1.0  -0.0  -0.0  -0.0  -0.0  -0.0  -0.0  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.2%        0.1%        0.2%
 30kt / 24h        0.2%        0.0%        0.1%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.1%        0.2%        0.2%
 55kt / 36h        0.1%        0.0%        0.1%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.1%        0.1%        0.1%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 26.84

 SH042026 251025 12UTC
 Storm Located at           :     -7.50     50.60
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    35.