Rapid Intensification Guidance

 SH172026 260127 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :    -24.80    124.50
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    25.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    25.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     2.20             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     32.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      7.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      9.40             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     96.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        36.1  36.3  46.4  56.2  68.6  75.9  85.6  85.6  U  U VU VU VU VU VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2] 9999.09999.09999.09999.09999.09999.09999.09999.0 VF VF VF VF VF VF VF VF
 Potential [kt]         80.4  65.7  60.0  49.1  35.9  27.1  20.1  20.1  N  U  U  U  U VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    94.0  87.0  62.0  81.0  35.0  61.0  33.0  33.0  F  F  N  N  N  N  N  N
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   54.0  43.0  40.0  35.0  35.0  42.0  53.0  53.0  U VU VU VU VU VU  U  U
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s] -12.0 -27.0 -43.0 -33.0 -44.0  -7.0  16.0  16.0  F VF VF VF VF  F  U  U


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.2%        0.1%        0.1%
 30kt / 24h        0.2%        0.0%        0.1%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.1%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 23.92

 SH172026 260127 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :    -24.80    124.50
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    25.