Rapid Intensification Guidance WP042026 260420 00UTC Storm Located at : 29.60 158.80 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]: 50. Initial Conditions: Predictor Value Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt] 50.00 N 12-H DELTA VMAX [kt] -5.00 U CORE SIZE [km] 10.20 F CONVECTION <-50C [%] 0.00 VU CONVECTION <-60C [%] 0.00 U IR CORE SYMMETRY [K] 0.50 F TC SIZE [%] 98.00 N Forecast Conditions: Predictor Value Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72 6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72 Wind Shear [kt] 57.2 64.9 59.0 57.3 76.9 90.7 88.0 67.9 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2] 9999.09999.09999.09999.09999.09999.09999.09999.0 VF VF VF VF VF VF VF VF Potential [kt] 14.1 14.6 14.6 14.1 9.7 1.8 -1.0 -2.7 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU 200mb Divg [10^6/s] -2.0 7.0 6.0 25.0 32.0 12.0 -28.0 -23.0 U U U U N U VU VU Humidity 700-500 hPa 43.0 38.0 35.0 33.0 39.0 42.0 49.0 45.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU U VU T Advectio [10^6 K/s] -6.0 6.0 -3.0 -16.0 -46.0 35.0 50.0 61.0 F N N VF VF VU VU VU Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification Thresholds LDA-Method LRE-Method CONSENSUS 20kt / 12h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 25kt / 24h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 30kt / 24h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 35kt / 24h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 40kt / 24h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 45kt / 36h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 55kt / 36h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 55kt / 48h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 70kt / 48h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 65kt / 72h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons Convective Decapatation Guidance For SSTs greater than 27.5C Current sst along the future track = 20.16 WP042026 260420 00UTC Storm Located at : 29.60 158.80 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]: 50.