Rapid Intensification Guidance WP062026 260602 00UTC Storm Located at : 29.10 128.50 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]: 50. Initial Conditions: Predictor Value Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt] 50.00 N 12-H DELTA VMAX [kt] -5.00 U CORE SIZE [km] 8.20 F CONVECTION <-50C [%] 0.00 VU CONVECTION <-60C [%] 0.00 U IR CORE SYMMETRY [K] 2.20 F TC SIZE [%] 105.00 N Forecast Conditions: Predictor Value Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72 6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72 Wind Shear [kt] 36.7 44.8 55.1 52.0 66.3 83.0 99.7 78.8 U VU VU VU VU VU VU VU Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2] 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 U U U U U U U U Potential [kt] 49.3 38.7 31.6 27.6 17.3 12.7 13.7 15.1 U U VU VU VU VU VU VU 200mb Divg [10^6/s] 87.0 64.0 101.0 127.0 96.0 48.0 52.0 -15.0 F N F F F N N U Humidity 700-500 hPa 71.0 67.0 66.0 59.0 50.0 57.0 58.0 59.0 N N N U U U U U T Advectio [10^6 K/s] 52.0 37.0 29.0 46.0 73.0 35.0 19.0 -11.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU F Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification Thresholds LDA-Method LRE-Method CONSENSUS 20kt / 12h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 25kt / 24h 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 30kt / 24h 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 35kt / 24h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 40kt / 24h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 45kt / 36h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 55kt / 36h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 55kt / 48h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 70kt / 48h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 65kt / 72h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons Convective Decapatation Guidance For SSTs greater than 27.5C Current sst along the future track = 23.62 WP062026 260602 00UTC Storm Located at : 29.10 128.50 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]: 50.