Rapid Intensification Guidance

 WP062026 260602 12UTC
 Storm Located at           :     32.20    133.10
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    50.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    50.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]    -5.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]    11.40             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     22.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     11.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      4.80             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    134.00             U


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        51.6  51.7  60.7  64.7  84.7  98.3  74.2  76.1 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         26.2  27.6  18.4  11.8   6.6  10.5  11.8  11.8 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]   109.0 141.0 118.0 115.0  59.0  56.0  -5.0 -25.0  F VF  F  F  N  N  U VU
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   66.0  64.0  56.0  49.0  49.0  49.0  53.0  56.0  N  N  U  U  U  U  U  U
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  41.0   9.0  90.0  87.0   5.0   4.0 -22.0 -22.0 VU  U VU VU  N  N VF VF


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 21.52

 WP062026 260602 12UTC
 Storm Located at           :     32.20    133.10
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    50.