Rapid Intensification Guidance

 WP072026 260627 18UTC
 Storm Located at           :     37.20    146.40
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    40.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    40.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     9.40             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      0.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      3.50             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    137.00             U


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        58.5  62.6  71.6  62.3  54.4  43.4  36.6  32.9 VU VU VU VU VU VU  U  U
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         18.9  14.0   5.9   3.8   0.4   0.3   0.2   0.2 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    12.0  22.0  26.0 112.0  56.0  73.0  38.0  14.0  U  U  U  F  N  N  N  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   45.0  45.0  47.0  53.0  63.0  58.0  50.0  53.0 VU VU VU  U  N  U  U  U
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  -2.0  -2.0  32.0  40.0   1.0 -20.0 -14.0 -11.0  N  N VU VU  N VF VF  F


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 16.54

 WP072026 260627 18UTC
 Storm Located at           :     37.20    146.40
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    40.