Rapid Intensification Guidance

 WP092026 260714 12UTC
 Storm Located at           :     38.50    124.80
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    30.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    30.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]    10.60             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      6.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      3.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      2.90             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    146.00             U


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        33.0  44.3  53.4  49.1  55.6  49.3  56.8  46.1  U VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         38.4  31.8  21.3  19.0  16.8  13.5  12.9  13.3  U VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    39.0  52.0  54.0  85.0  67.0  47.0  49.0  66.0  N  N  N  F  N  N  N  N
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   57.0  57.0  57.0  62.0  58.0  60.0  71.0  70.0  U  U  U  N  U  N  N  N
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  56.0   3.0  22.0  15.0   8.0  16.0  38.0  46.0 VU  N VU  U  U  U VU VU


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.1%        0.0%        0.1%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 18.84

 WP092026 260714 12UTC
 Storm Located at           :     38.50    124.80
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    30.