Rapid Intensification Guidance

 WP112026 260725 12UTC
 Storm Located at           :     21.80    115.90
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    80.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    80.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]    10.00             F
 CORE SIZE        [km]     4.60             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     76.00             N
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     59.00             N
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]     10.00             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    122.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        16.9  15.5  10.9  27.5  17.8  27.0  16.0  28.6  F  F  F  N  F  N  F  N
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]   12.0  26.0  12.0  12.0  12.0  12.0  12.0  12.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         15.9  13.8   9.7   4.1  -9.8 -14.3 -16.8 -19.9 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    15.0  29.0  43.0  38.0  34.0  34.0  23.0  21.0  U  N  N  N  N  N  U  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   61.0  63.0  64.0  66.0  73.0  74.0  85.0  83.0  N  N  N  N  N  N  F  F
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  -2.0  -5.0   0.0   4.0   9.0   9.0  10.0   7.0  N  F  N  N  U  U  U  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 23.96

 WP112026 260725 12UTC
 Storm Located at           :     21.80    115.90
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    80.