Rapid Intensification Guidance

 WP112026 260725 18UTC
 Storm Located at           :     22.40    115.10
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    85.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    85.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]    10.00             F
 CORE SIZE        [km]     6.60             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     92.00             F
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     69.00             F
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]     10.00             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    109.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        15.5   9.3  27.5  21.5  19.9  23.5  19.1  24.8  F  F  N  N  N  N  N  N
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]   26.0  12.0  12.0  12.0  12.0  12.0  12.0  12.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]          8.8   5.7   0.9  -5.8 -16.6 -21.3 -24.1 -28.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    30.0  43.0  38.0  32.0  54.0  14.0  42.0  18.0  N  N  N  N  N  U  N  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   61.0  62.0  63.0  67.0  75.0  76.0  77.0  79.0  N  N  N  N  F  F  F  F
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  -5.0   0.0   4.0   8.0  10.0  11.0  -1.0  15.0  F  N  N  U  U  U  N  U


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 23.62

 WP112026 260725 18UTC
 Storm Located at           :     22.40    115.10
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    85.