Rapid Intensification Guidance

 WP112026 260726 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     22.90    114.50
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    75.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    75.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]    -5.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]     3.00             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     51.00             N
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     30.00             N
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      9.90             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    110.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        12.0  28.4  26.2  22.6  27.7  16.8  22.2  16.0  F  N  N  N  N  F  N  F
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]   12.0   2.0   2.0   2.0   2.0   2.0   2.0   2.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         13.7   8.3   1.9  -4.2 -10.9 -13.2 -16.1 -22.1 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    59.0  64.0  41.0  80.0  58.0  14.0   1.0 -37.0  N  N  N  N  N  U  U VU
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   63.0  63.0  68.0  72.0  72.0  79.0  77.0  76.0  N  N  N  N  N  F  F  F
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  -1.0   3.0   7.0  21.0  14.0  13.0  10.0  14.0  N  N  N VU  U  U  U  U


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 22.84

 WP112026 260726 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     22.90    114.50
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    75.