Rapid Intensification Guidance

 WP112026 260726 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     23.90    114.20
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    65.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    65.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]   -20.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]    11.40             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     39.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     12.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      9.70             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    129.00             U


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        28.5  26.2  22.7  21.0  24.2  16.3  21.0  15.1  N  N  N  N  N  F  N  F
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]   12.0  12.0  12.0  12.0  12.0  12.0  12.0  12.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         17.4  12.6   7.1   4.0  -0.4  -5.8  -9.7 -11.3 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    65.0  41.0  80.0  60.0   8.0  18.0  17.0 -32.0  N  N  N  N  U  U  U VU
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   68.0  69.0  73.0  77.0  80.0  81.0  79.0  79.0  N  N  N  F  F  F  F  F
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]   3.0   7.0  21.0  13.0   8.0   3.0  10.0  11.0  N  N VU  U  U  N  U  U


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 22.24

 WP112026 260726 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     23.90    114.20
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    65.