Rapid Intensification Guidance

 WP112026 260726 12UTC
 Storm Located at           :     24.70    114.20
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    45.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    45.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]   -30.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]     2.20             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      4.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      7.30             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    137.00             U


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        22.7  22.2  17.8  28.6  18.5  26.5  18.3  23.3  N  N  F  N  N  N  F  N
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    2.0   2.0   2.0   2.0   2.0   2.0   2.0   2.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         31.9  26.4  22.8  19.6  15.1  10.9   6.8   5.3 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    56.0  60.0  76.0  45.0  16.0  30.0  -9.0 -20.0  N  N  N  N  U  N  U VU
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   67.0  70.0  75.0  77.0  82.0  77.0  78.0  75.0  N  N  F  F  F  F  F  F
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]   9.0  21.0  11.0  16.0   9.0   7.0  11.0  12.0  U VU  U  U  U  N  U  U


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 21.52

 WP112026 260726 12UTC
 Storm Located at           :     24.70    114.20
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    45.